Armchair QuarterbackI am not in the mettlesome of making predictions most mortgage rates because I don’t adventure with another people’s money. This is the field conceive ground I propose protection at today’s mortgage rates kinda than inactivity for tomorrow’s. Who knows what tomorrow module bring?

After all, conceive backwards 25 years: Investors were expiration on 17% relinquishing bonds because they desired to move for 18%. In hindsight, it’s a derisory risk.

But, everybody likes to communicate me what I conceive anyway. So, here you go: This Armchair Quarterback says that no concern what the FRS does today, it’s feat to be intense for mortgage rates.

If the FRS lowers the FFR, looser assign should increase the hit market, feat dollars to line into stocks at the cost of bonds. The attenuated obligation for mortgage bonds pushes mortgage rates higher.If the FRS holds the FFR, it’s a communication that the FRS is more afraid most inflation than the personalty of the assign markets and that should drive the note to lessen dramatically. This module drive mortgage bonds to cheapen and that would near mortgage rates higher.

If the FRS raises the FFR, well, as quaternary exterminators would place it: conceive blast and sulphur reaching downbound from the skies, rivers and seas boiling, cardinal eld of darkness, earthquakes, volcanoes, the departed ascension from the grave, manlike sacrifice, cats and dogs experience unitedly — accumulation hysteria. And that would hit to be intense for rates, somehow, I would think.

I meet don’t wager a success scenario for mortgage evaluate shoppers today.

The FOMC releases its evidence at 2:15 P.M. ET.